Why Early Adopters Are Overrated.
I've decided I'm not an early adopter, I'm an early acquirer. I've had a Twitter account for quite a long time, similarly with Facebook but I don't use either of them. My MySpace, Joost and Jaiku activity is similarly spartan. After a burst of investigation, I lose interest.
I've watched true early adopters flit from one to the next and create buzz, but does it really matter? Are the views of people with technical expertise far beyond that of the mainstream or those of people seeking to analyse the potential monetisation of said products really that relevant. If they're not the people who will constitute the bulk of your users, then I'd question how much one should be believing.